1. In America, in the 1950s,
there was a famous exhibition called
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2. The Family of Man.
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3. It put forward a new way of seeing
the world as an alternative
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4. to the horrors of Nazism
and communism.
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5. It showed hundreds of photographs
of individuals
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6. from all around the world.
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7. The message was simple -
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8. we are all one world...
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9. .. and at the centre of that world
is the individual self.
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10. The man who helped design it was
a refugee from Germany
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11. called Herbert Bayer.
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12. He saw it as a new kind
of propaganda.
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13. Instead of being overwhelmed
by dramatic stories created
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14. by those in power, the individual
would make their own story
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15. out of the photographs.
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16. Bayer made a diagram
to show his idea.
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17. At the centre is the giant eye
of the individual self,
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18. surrounded by a mass of images.
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19. It was a utopian vision of the self
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20. selecting and arranging
the fragments of images
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21. into their own story,
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22. and so becoming strong enough
to withstand tyranny.
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23. Confident individuals in control
of their own world.
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24. On the surface, Tupac Shakur was
part of the age of the individual.
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25. He believed deeply in the idea
of self-expression.
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26. But he was also one of the few
in the 1980s who still believed
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27. in the power of grand stories
to move people,
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28. and to inspire them
to change the world.
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29. His mother, Afeni,
had been a Black Panther
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30. and she still believed in the idea
of revolution in America.
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31. Tupac later said, "The phrase
Black Power had been like a lullaby
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32. "when I was a kid. My mother,
she would tell me these stories
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33. "of things she did or saw,
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34. "and it made me feel
part of something.
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35. "She always raised me to think
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36. "I was the black prince
of the revolution."
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37. What Afeni taught him was that
the world most Americans lived in,
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38. both white and black,
was an unreal fairyland
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39. that concealed the harsh reality
of the power
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40. that controlled their lives.
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41. We're not being taught to deal
with the world as it is.
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42. We're being taught to deal with
this fairyland,
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43. which we're not
even living in any more.
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44. It is... It's sad because
I'm telling you
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45. and it should not
be me telling you.
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46. It should be common knowledge.
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47. Aren't they wondering why death
rates are going up,
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48. and suicide is going up and drug
abuse? Aren't they wondering?
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49. Don't they understand that more
people are...?
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50. I mean, more kids
are being handed crack
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51. than are being handed diplomas.
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52. I mean... I mean, it's like,
you know, those little things
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53. they have for the mice where they
go round the circle and there's
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54. little blocks for it and everything?
Well, society is like that.
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55. They'll let you go as far
as you want.
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56. But as soon as you start asking too
many questions
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57. and you're ready to change - boom.
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58. By the 1980s, it was clear
that the promises
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59. of the civil rights movement
had not been kept in America.
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60. The idealism of black politics
fell away.
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61. And the communities divided
into gangs,
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62. that then turned on each other.
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63. The shooting started
about in, what, '76? Yeah.
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64. 1976.
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65. You know, they stopped fighting.
They just started shooting.
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66. You know, it was something new
to me, you know.
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67. We used to fight all the time.
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68. The next minute,
I'm running from gunshots.
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69. So, I said to myself, "Say, man,
we're going to start doing
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70. "what they're doing."
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71. You know? Same thing they do to us,
we do to them.
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72. Do or die, stay in the house.
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73. You know, fight
or stay in the house.
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74. So, I weren't gon' stay in
the house for nobody.
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75. Then crack swept through the black
communities in America
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76. and Afeni Shakur finally gave up.
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77. She became addicted to crack.
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78. And Tupac found himself alone.
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79. At the end of the 1980s,
he moved to California.
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80. It was supposed to be
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81. one of the most integrated parts
of the country,
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82. but one night, Tupac went to a party
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83. and he realised that white
racism was re-emerging even there.
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84. There was a fight at the party.
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85. And I was like, "What happened?"
He said, "The skinheads came
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86. "and told... Called the black people
'niggers' and made them...
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87. "Said they had to leave.
And of course, there was a fight."
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88. I was like, "Oh, my God."
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89. So we were sitting there... They
went home, we were sitting there,
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90. talking and everything,
and my friend's just like,
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91. "This couldn't happen in the '60s.
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92. "You know, let's figure out
what to do with it."
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93. He was just like, "I know, we'll
start the Black Panthers again."
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94. So, we started the Black Panthers,
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95. but we're doing it more to fit
our views, you know?
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96. Less violent and more silent.
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97. You know, more knowledge.
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98. Tupac Shakur set out to reawaken
the radicalism of the Panthers...
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99. .. and to do it, he was going to use
himself as the central character.
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100. But there was another country that
was also like a fairy-tale land...
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101. .. Saudi Arabia.
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102. Ever since the 1970s,
billions of dollars had flooded
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103. in from the West.
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104. This vast wave of money had created
a dream-like society,
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105. run by an elite,
where no-one paid any tax.
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106. But there were those in Saudi Arabia
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107. who saw another, much more sinister
reality underneath this facade.
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108. Abu Zubaydah had been born
in Saudi Arabia,
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109. but he was not a Saudi.
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110. His family were Palestinian,
and he quickly discovered
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111. that if you were not a part of
the Saudi elite, you were nothing.
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112. He and his family were looked down
on and scorned.
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113. In the 1980s, Zubaydah grew more
and more angry and lonely.
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114. He began to write a special diary
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115. into which he poured
out his feelings.
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116. It was special because it was
written to be read
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117. by just one person in the future -
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118. himself in the year 2000.
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119. The diary is full of a growing fury
about how Saudi Arabia
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120. had been taken over and corrupted
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121. by the vast wealth that had come
into the society.
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122. He describes how everyone around
him, including his friends,
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123. were false and treacherous.
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124. "They pretend to be pious,
but really they have no values.
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125. "The money has created a society
where nobody believes in anything
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126. "and nothing can be trusted."
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127. Zubaydah tried to lose himself
in music.
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128. The singer he loved most
was Chris de Burgh
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129. and his songs like the Lady In Red.
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130. But then at the end of the 1980s,
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131. Zubaydah discovered
the ideas of jihad.
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132. At that point, modern Islamism
was sweeping through the Arab world.
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133. The attraction of jihad was that
by losing yourself
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134. in the struggle, you could free
yourself from the emptiness
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135. and the nihilism that the Western
money was bringing into societies
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136. like Saudi Arabia.
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137. Lady In Red
by Chris De Burgh
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138. Abu Zubaydah travelled to the town
of Peshawar on the Afghan border
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139. to lose himself in the new
revolutionary struggle
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140. that was going to remake
the Arab world and him.
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141. Both Abu Zubaydah and Tupac Shakur,
in their different ways,
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142. are part of something that had
begun 200 years before
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143. with the French Revolution.
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144. It was the idea that through
revolution, you could break
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145. through to a new kind of world,
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146. something beyond the corrupt
reality of this one.
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147. But at this same moment,
a completely new way
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148. of seeing the world
was rising up in America.
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149. It said that all attempts to change
the world through revolution
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150. would always fail
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151. because the world was too
complicated for anyone
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152. to be able to predict
the consequences of their actions.
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153. It came from engineers and
scientists who were using computers
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154. to model the way the world behaved.
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155. If it's between the modus
in relation to the advice...
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156. It will not match this data in time.
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157. The simulation would determine
long it took the signal...
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158. They saw the world as a series
of complex systems.
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159. Populations of animals,
flocks of birds,
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160. whole human societies
and even global weather patterns
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161. were all complex systems
that you could recreate
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162. as models inside the computers.
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163. But when the scientists did this,
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164. the computers began to reveal
something they hadn't expected.
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165. One tiny change in their equations
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166. could have massive
catastrophic consequences,
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167. which they could
never have predicted.
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168. It was called Chaos Theory.
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169. But we're beginning to learn
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170. that very simple laws, very simple
equations can generate astonishingly
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171. complicated dynamical behaviour,
apparently random behaviour,
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172. which we call chaos.
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173. So, the bad news is we can have
nothing random in the system,
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174. everything is known, and yet
we cannot make long-term predictions
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175. about the future because
the fluttering of a butterfly's wing
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176. will disturb the initial conditions.
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177. Chaos Theory had a very powerful
influence in the West
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178. because it rose up
at the very moment
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179. the Soviet Union was collapsing...
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180. .. and it seemed to explain
why all attempts at revolution
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181. had led to disaster.
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182. The world was just too complex
for human beings to change
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183. in a predictable way.
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184. But in the 1990s, as the computers
became more powerful,
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185. the scientists argued that even
though human beings
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186. would never be able
to understand the complexity,
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187. the computers could be used to see
hidden underlying patterns
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188. and make the chaos manageable.
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189. This new idea was called
Complexity Theory.
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190. One of its main promoters
was the man who had discovered
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191. the elementary particles
of all matter - quarks.
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192. He was called Murray Gell-Mann
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193. and he believed that there
were underlying patterns
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194. at every level of the universe,
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195. not just in the particles,
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196. but in the way people think,
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197. in the structure of human societies,
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198. and even in the languages
they spoke.
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199. You're always looking for patterns
in nature? Yes.
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200. Patterns in the way people think,
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201. patterns in the elementary
particles.
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202. It's all part of the same way
of doing things, I suppose.
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203. Trying to spot the law,
trying to spot the relationship...
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204. The customs of primitive people,
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205. languages and the relations
among them.
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206. And it's fascinating to try
to figure out what these laws are.
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207. As Complexity Theory spread,
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208. it seemed to offer a new way
of managing societies
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209. by using computers to analyse
vast amounts of data.
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210. That would bypass the failed
political ideas
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211. that had always led to disaster
in the past.
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212. But it brought with it a deeply
conservative idea that was going
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213. to be the foundation of today's
computer-dominated world.
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214. It said that what you were looking
for in the data
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215. are the underlying laws
that govern the systems,
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216. as they already exist.
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217. You never ask why those systems
came to exist.
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218. And who benefits from them existing?
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219. One of the leading
complexity scientists
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220. insisted that the meaning
of any system was irrelevant.
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221. "I don't understand
what meaning is," he said.
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222. "In science, there is no
meaning to anything.
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223. "It doesn't ask the atom why it is
going left
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224. "when it is subjected
to a magnetic field.
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225. "It just observes and describes."
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226. A mad's man gun. A man that go
kill with this is really mad.
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227. It will kill. You betcha. You better
watch out. This is an M1 Carbine.
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228. 32 rounds.
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229. I can go tap Lueders Park with this.
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230. I can kill about 32 people
if I hit them all. Guns!
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231. All about shooting,
taking them out. Yes.
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232. And when they come shoot us,
we go back and shoot them.
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233. As he became more successful,
Tupac Shakur dramatised in his music
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234. what he called the thug life.
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235. His aim, he said, was not to try
and stop the violence,
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236. but to make those in the gangs
who were killing each other
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237. realise that they could turn the
violence outwards instead,
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238. and fight back against those
who really oppressed them.
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239. But Shakur had begun to suspect
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240. that maybe many people
didn't really want change,
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241. that they were happy living
in their own fairy-tale world
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242. of gangs and violence.
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243. Now, if we do want to live
a thug life and a gangster life
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244. and all of that, OK.
So, stop being cowards
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245. and let's have a revolution.
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246. But we don't want to do that.
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247. Dudes just want to live a character.
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248. They want to be cartoons. Mm-mm.
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249. But if they really wanted to do
something, if they was that tough -
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250. all right, let's start our own
country. Let's start a revolution.
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251. Let's get out of here.
Let's do something.
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252. But they don't want to do that.
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253. In response, Shakur was accused
by a number of the gangs
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254. of simply using them,
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255. that he was sucking out details
of their lives
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256. and then acting it out in his music
to make himself rich,
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257. that he wasn't real.
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258. In response, Tupac tried to become
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259. more and more part of that world
to prove his authenticity.
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260. But then the black radicals
accused him
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261. of getting lost in the character
he had created,
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262. that really he was reinforcing
and intensifying the violence,
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263. not changing it.
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264. One radical wrote, "Thug ambition is
completely predatory...
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265. ".. because it is driven
by an individualism
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266. "that deliberately avoids the fellow
feeling and the group solidarity
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267. "needed by revolutionaries."
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268. In 1994, Shakur was sent to jail
for five months
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269. for raping a 17-year-old girl.
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270. Shakur found himself in the new
world of mass incarceration
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271. in America.
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272. Let's go, let's go, let's go!
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273. You're fat and slow, let's go.
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274. Move it!
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275. Driven by fears of a wave
of violent crime,
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276. President Clinton had brought
in tough new crime rules,
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277. even though, in reality,
crime was falling.
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278. You shut the fuck up
and move, motherfucker!
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279. Hundreds of thousands of young
black men were now imprisoned
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280. with no hope of parole,
even for minor offences.
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281. It seemed to show that President
Clinton cared more about the fears
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282. of the white middle-class voters
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283. than he did about
the lives of young black men.
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284. But the white radicals, who were
buying Tupac Shakur's music,
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285. did nothing to challenge it.
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286. By moving radical politics
into the world of culture,
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287. Tupac Shakur had also become part
of the fairy-tale world,
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288. because he helped keep the anger
and the dissent sealed off
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289. from the real world of
politics and power.
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290. And now he was all alone.
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291. Trust nobody. Trust nobody.
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292. After dark. You know what I mean?
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293. Straight up. My closest friends
did me in.
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294. My closest friends, my homies,
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295. people who I'd have took care
of their whole family,
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296. I'd have took care of everything
for them, looked out for them,
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297. put them in a gang, everything,
turned on me.
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298. Fear is stronger than love.
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299. Remember that.
Fear is stronger than love.
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300. All the love I gave did me nothing
when it came to fear.
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301. So, it's all good.
But I'm a soldier. I always survive.
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302. I constantly come back,
you know what I mean?
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303. Only thing that can kill me
is death.
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304. That's the only thing that could
ever stop me - is death.
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305. One night at the end of 1991,
Abu Zubaydah was part of a group
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306. of jihadists attacking
the city of Gardez in Afghanistan.
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307. They were trying to overthrow
the communist regime
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308. left behind by the Russians
three years before.
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309. But then suddenly a mortar exploded
next to Abu Zubaydah,
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310. and a piece of shrapnel
pierced his skull.
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311. It went into his brain,
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312. and his whole way of seeing
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313. and understanding
the world suddenly changed.
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314. The next day, he was taken
back from the front line,
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315. over the mountains to Peshawar.
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316. For two months, he was unconscious.
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317. Then his memories from the past
began to come back,
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318. but in a mass of fragments.
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319. Nothing linked them.
They made no sense.
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320. So, Zubaydah began to use his diary
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321. to write down all the flashes
of memory,
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322. to try and make sense of who he was.
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323. In the end, it would run
to over 1,000 pages,
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324. a vast collage of memories
and feelings.
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325. Moments of intense loneliness
as a child.
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326. Of watching Pluto meet an angel
in a Disney cartoon.
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327. Moments of fear in combat.
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328. The smell of perfume.
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329. The anger he felt at friends.
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330. Moments of sexual desire.
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331. And the sensation of autumn
coming on.
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332. When he had physically recovered,
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333. Abu Zubaydah went back to the jihad
training camps in Afghanistan,
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334. but he found that whatever he did,
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335. he could not put his memories
back together.
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336. They remained just fragments
in his brain.
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337. He also had a growing sense that
the whole organisation of jihad
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338. was disintegrating into
rival factions.
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339. All ideas of solidarity
and collective action had gone.
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340. In the diary, he describes
how you couldn't trust
Copy !req
341. anyone any longer.
Copy !req
342. Zubaydah knew Bin Laden,
who was running another jihad camp.
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343. Bin Laden asked him to make
an alliance, but Zubaydah refused.
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344. He was aware that Bin Laden was
planning some kind of retaliation
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345. against the Americans,
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346. but he didn't trust him.
Copy !req
347. EXPLOSION, HORSE NEIGHS
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348. Zubaydah spent his time
making explosives
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349. and watching American
movies like Rambo III.
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350. Zubaydah wrote in his diary
how up in the mountains,
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351. everything was falling apart.
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352. The revolutionary dream of Islamism
was failing...
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353. .. while his sense of who he was,
his identity,
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354. had disintegrated
into random memories.
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355. They meant nothing.
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356. There was no story that made sense.
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357. He wrote how it was as though time
had stopped.
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358. He was trapped in a perpetual now,
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359. haunted by fragments of memory...
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360. .. with no way of moving forward
into the future.
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361. But in the West,
scientists were beginning to ask
Copy !req
362. whether the very idea
of an integrated self
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363. was actually a fiction for everyone.
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364. In the 1980s, a new group
of behavioural psychologists
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365. had argued that what human beings
think of as their self
Copy !req
366. was not fully in control
of their actions.
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367. Now, they had been joined
by neuroscientists
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368. who said they had discovered
something even stranger -
Copy !req
369. that inside their brains,
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370. human beings had all kinds
of different selves
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371. which the conscious mind
had no awareness of at all.
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372. They were led by Michael Gazzaniga,
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373. who would win a Nobel Prize
for his work.
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374. With your right hand,
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375. you point to this row.
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376. And with your left hand, you point
to this row. OK. OK?
Copy !req
377. Gazzaniga studied the brains
of people like Vicki.
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378. She suffered from extreme epilepsy.
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379. To try and stop her attacks,
surgeons had cut the nerve fibres
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380. that linked the two sides of
her brain.
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381. It worked, but it also revealed
something very strange.
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382. There was another force inside Vicki
that emerged,
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383. that kept trying to take control.
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384. I knew what I wanted to wear.
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385. And I would open up my closet,
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386. get ready to take it out.
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387. And my other hand would, like,
just take control.
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388. It would just reach in
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389. and get something
that I wouldn't want at all.
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390. And a couple of times
I had a pair of shorts on,
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391. and then I'd find myself putting
another pair of shorts on
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392. on top of a pair I already had on.
And which I knew...
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393. I knew was wrong.
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394. Gazzaniga argued that really there
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395. were multiple selves inside
the human brain,
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396. each one taking control
at different moments.
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397. Normally that is hidden because
the one self that is conscious
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398. constantly makes up stories
to explain
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399. what all the other selves are doing.
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400. But when the connection between
the two parts of the brain is cut,
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401. it can't do that...
Copy !req
402. .. and the other parts emerge.
Copy !req
403. Vicki wasn't strange, Gazzaniga
said, she just showed the truth.
Copy !req
404. Gazzaniga argued that really all
human beings live
Copy !req
405. in a made-up dream world of stories
Copy !req
406. which give them the illusion
that they are in control.
Copy !req
407. But, really, there is something
else inside them
Copy !req
408. that they will never contact.
Copy !req
409. We have to quit viewing man
as a single psychological entity.
Copy !req
410. That, in fact, his psychological
self is a multiple self,
Copy !req
411. that he has a variety of mental
systems existing in his brain.
Copy !req
412. They have emotions, they have
memories, they have incentives,
Copy !req
413. they have destinies.
Copy !req
414. And they're able to control
the motor apparatus,
Copy !req
415. by which I mean
they are able to make movements,
Copy !req
416. they're able to actually precipitate
behaviours on the part of someone.
Copy !req
417. And once those actions
are completed,
Copy !req
418. here comes this verbal system
in to give an explanation
Copy !req
419. and to propose a theory
Copy !req
420. to itself to explain why these
actions were carried out.
Copy !req
421. The 1990s was the high point
of the idea of individualism.
Copy !req
422. With all the old revolutions gone,
it promised the vision
Copy !req
423. of a new world of free,
confident people.
Copy !req
424. But what was happening was that
the sciences, that had grown up
Copy !req
425. with that individualism, were now
turning on it and eating away at it.
Copy !req
426. Complexity theory said that human
beings were just components
Copy !req
427. in vast, complex systems,
Copy !req
428. systems that they would never
be able to understand,
Copy !req
429. which meant what they thought
and what they felt
Copy !req
430. was irrelevant to the system...
Copy !req
431. .. while psychology, and now
neuroscience, said that much
Copy !req
432. of what went on inside people's
brains was beyond their control...
Copy !req
433. .. which meant that the conscious bit
inside the brain,
Copy !req
434. the part that applies meaning
to the world,
Copy !req
435. was actually irrelevant.
Copy !req
436. Bit by bit, the idea of the world
as something that human beings
Copy !req
437. could understand and change
was disappearing.
Copy !req
438. Human consciousness
was being sidelined.
Copy !req
439. In 1996, Tupac Shakur was shot
in Las Vegas.
Copy !req
440. He was taken to hospital
in a critical condition.
Copy !req
441. Six days later, he died.
Copy !req
442. Still today,
no-one knows who shot him.
Copy !req
443. The suspicion and the lack of trust
that he had come to fear
Copy !req
444. was now spreading through
the black community.
Copy !req
445. And in that mood, a new conspiracy
theory was rising up.
Copy !req
446. It said that the crack epidemic
in black areas had been created
Copy !req
447. by the CIA and the US government.
Copy !req
448. And the feelings of suspicion
and paranoia spread even further.
Copy !req
449. This show is about finding
some truth.
Copy !req
450. Was the CIA responsible for,
in any way, shape or form,
Copy !req
451. funnelling cocaine into
the United States of America
Copy !req
452. back in the early '80s,
Copy !req
453. and then helped to develop
and turn it into crack,
Copy !req
454. which was then spread across
America, and is the reason why
Copy !req
455. most of our inner cities are
in the plight that they are in?
Copy !req
456. So, we're right between
that house...
Copy !req
457. .. and this house.
We're renting this half of a house.
Copy !req
458. Right, so this is our garage.
Copy !req
459. Basically, nobody's in here,
Copy !req
460. but we've got a ping pong table,
a computer.
Copy !req
461. But there was still a group of
idealists,
Copy !req
462. at the heart of Silicon Valley,
who still believed
Copy !req
463. that individuals
could remake the world,
Copy !req
464. and they could help them do it
in a new way.
Copy !req
465. It wouldn't confront
the old systems of power.
Copy !req
466. It would simply bypass them.
Copy !req
467. There's Larry, the CEO of Google.
Copy !req
468. At Google, our mission is to make
the world's information accessible
Copy !req
469. and useful, and that means
all the world's information,
Copy !req
470. which now in our index numbers
over a billion documents.
Copy !req
471. And it's an incredible resource.
Copy !req
472. I mean, in history, you have never
had access to just, you know,
Copy !req
473. pretty much all the world's
information in seconds.
Copy !req
474. And we have that now.
Copy !req
475. My hope is to provide instant access
Copy !req
476. to any information anybody
ever wants in future.
Copy !req
477. I think I want to make the world
a better place.
Copy !req
478. The idealism behind Google
was the same vision
Copy !req
479. that had been behind The Family of
Man exhibition 40 years before.
Copy !req
480. It said that everyone could use
the information
Copy !req
481. to build their own story,
free of the old elites,
Copy !req
482. who in the past had controlled
what they read and what they saw.
Copy !req
483. But it would also
link them together.
Copy !req
484. One world at the centre of which
would be the individual self,
Copy !req
485. assembling the data in any way
they wanted.
Copy !req
486. But in Russia, that same dream was
now seen to have led to disaster.
Copy !req
487. At the start of the 1990s,
a giant experiment had begun
Copy !req
488. to transform the country into
a free market democracy.
Copy !req
489. But it had gone disastrously wrong.
Copy !req
490. Russia had been taken over by
a small group called the oligarchs
Copy !req
491. who had looted the country
of much of its wealth.
Copy !req
492. And the idea that Russia could
become a society of free individuals
Copy !req
493. was now seen as a joke.
Copy !req
494. No-one believed in communism
or democracy any longer.
Copy !req
495. What does it mean...? What does
democracy mean for most Russians,
Copy !req
496. not in Moscow? Unfortunately...
Copy !req
497. Well, the word "socialism" has lost
its meaning and its value
Copy !req
498. in this country ten years ago.
Copy !req
499. After ten years, democracy
is a kind of a curse.
Copy !req
500. You can curse,
Copy !req
501. you can offend someone,
by naming him a democrat.
Copy !req
502. So this is the...
Copy !req
503. .. answer to your question.
Copy !req
504. Thank you very much indeed.
Thank you.
Copy !req
505. In 1999, the oligarchs decided
to select Russia's next president
Copy !req
506. to make sure it was someone
who would protect them.
Copy !req
507. They selected Vladimir Putin.
Copy !req
508. He was an anonymous bureaucrat
running the security service.
Copy !req
509. And a man who believed in nothing.
Copy !req
510. With their money and the media
they controlled backing him,
Copy !req
511. Putin was duly elected.
Copy !req
512. The oligarchs believed
that they were now safe
Copy !req
513. and their power
would continue undisturbed.
Copy !req
514. But then something
unexpected happened.
Copy !req
515. In August of 2000, the nuclear
submarine Kursk
Copy !req
516. set out on the first Navy exercise
since the fall of the Soviet Union.
Copy !req
517. As a torpedo was being loaded,
it exploded.
Copy !req
518. And the submarine sank
to the ocean floor.
Copy !req
519. To begin with, the Russian Navy
didn't notice
Copy !req
520. that anything had happened.
Copy !req
521. Then they began to search
for the Kursk,
Copy !req
522. but they couldn't find it.
Copy !req
523. The families of the crew came
to the base at Murmansk.
Copy !req
524. The officials assured them
that they were in contact
Copy !req
525. with the crew, but this was a lie.
Copy !req
526. They knew that all 118 sailors
were already dead.
Copy !req
527. The families grew desperate.
Copy !req
528. To begin with, Putin did nothing.
Copy !req
529. He had no idea how to react.
Copy !req
530. But, finally, he was forced to come
to Murmansk
Copy !req
531. to confront the angry families
in a closed meeting.
Copy !req
532. What Putin then did to save himself
Copy !req
533. was turn that anger away
from himself
Copy !req
534. and towards the very people
who had put him in power.
Copy !req
535. "The people who killed your sons,"
he told the families,
Copy !req
536. "were the corrupt elites in Moscow,
Copy !req
537. "the oligarchs who have all the
money and control all the media.
Copy !req
538. "They are the ones
who are lying to you.
Copy !req
539. "They are the ones who have
destroyed the Army and the Navy.
Copy !req
540. "They are the ones who have stolen
everything
Copy !req
541. "and have everyone in their pocket."
Copy !req
542. Faced by a catastrophe,
Copy !req
543. what Putin had discovered
was a new source of power.
Copy !req
544. It was the raw anger of those
outside the major cities in Russia
Copy !req
545. who felt lonely and isolated,
Copy !req
546. as their jobs and lives
had collapsed around them.
Copy !req
547. They had been promised a democracy.
Copy !req
548. But what they got was chaos
and corruption on a vast scale.
Copy !req
549. And Putin had realised the power
that anger could give him.
Copy !req
550. But he himself still believed
in nothing.
Copy !req
551. He had been taken and placed
in power, and he had no goal.
Copy !req
552. The Russian journalist
Mikhail Zygar wrote,
Copy !req
553. "There is no logic
in the age of Putin.
Copy !req
554. "There is no plan or strategy.
Copy !req
555. "Everything that happens,
like with the Kursk,
Copy !req
556. "is a tactical step, a real-time
response to external stimuli
Copy !req
557. "devoid of any ultimate objective."
Copy !req
558. By the start of 2000,
Silicon Valley had become the focus
Copy !req
559. of a giant financial boom.
Copy !req
560. Wall Street banks were pouring
millions of dollars
Copy !req
561. into small companies that they knew
were unlikely to ever make
Copy !req
562. any real profit.
Copy !req
563. Their real aim was to create massive
share price rises
Copy !req
564. when they took the companies public
on the stock exchange.
Copy !req
565. But then the bubble suddenly burst.
Copy !req
566. Companies that only weeks
before had been valued
Copy !req
567. at billions of dollars
disappeared overnight,
Copy !req
568. their technology auctioned off
in fire sales.
Copy !req
569. We have $100,000 computers
Copy !req
570. with eight processors and ten hard
drives,
Copy !req
571. and just decked out with
gigs of RAM.
Copy !req
572. And that stuff's going for
ten cents, 20 cents on the dollar.
Copy !req
573. Google managed to survive,
Copy !req
574. but the crash meant that they met
the power of money,
Copy !req
575. which was going to reshape
their aims completely.
Copy !req
576. The venture capitalists,
who had invested in the company,
Copy !req
577. now had the upper hand.
Copy !req
578. They told Sergey Brin that he had
to find a way to make money.
Copy !req
579. And quickly.
Copy !req
580. And a sense of emergency
gripped Google.
Copy !req
581. But then they found the solution.
Copy !req
582. Every time someone searched the web,
they left trails behind them,
Copy !req
583. traces, as they travelled through
the internet.
Copy !req
584. Up to this point, that mass of data
had simply been used to make
Copy !req
585. the system of giving people
information more efficient.
Copy !req
586. But now the company's engineers
realised
Copy !req
587. that if they gathered enough
of it together,
Copy !req
588. they could build up a picture of
how every individual behaved
Copy !req
589. and how they were likely
to behave in the future.
Copy !req
590. It meant they could predict
Copy !req
591. what advertisement an individual
would click on and respond to...
Copy !req
592. .. without having
to ask them anything.
Copy !req
593. Google started to tell advertisers
that they had found a way
Copy !req
594. of replacing the hit-and-miss
of old advertising
Copy !req
595. with a new scientific certainty.
Copy !req
596. And very quickly, they began
to make millions of dollars.
Copy !req
597. But there was a problem.
Copy !req
598. What Google were doing was gathering
vast amounts of data on millions
Copy !req
599. of people without them
being fully aware of it.
Copy !req
600. And by 2001, the Federal Trade
Commission was preparing a law
Copy !req
601. which would stop much
of what they were doing.
Copy !req
602. But then suddenly, many of those
problems disappeared.
Copy !req
603. The attacks on September the 11th
shocked America because no-one
Copy !req
604. had seen them coming.
Copy !req
605. The phrase constantly used was,
"We failed to join up the dots."
Copy !req
606. And in the state of fear,
the government passed
Copy !req
607. the Patriot Act. It said
that everyone's personal data
Copy !req
608. must be open to examination,
to stop further attacks.
Copy !req
609. Privacy of the individual now became
irrelevant in the face of a much
Copy !req
610. higher need - security.
Copy !req
611. It meant that the very thing that
Google had invented, looking
Copy !req
612. for patterns in a mass of data,
now became central to the security
Copy !req
613. of the United States.
Copy !req
614. And the threat of new laws to
stop Google
Copy !req
615. collecting as much data on people
as they wanted faded away.
Copy !req
616. The shock of the attacks of 9/11
began a shift away
Copy !req
617. from the individualism that had been
at the centre
Copy !req
618. of America since the 1950s.
Copy !req
619. And Google was going to become
central to that shift.
Copy !req
620. Because rather than doing what they
had originally dreamed of,
Copy !req
621. giving people data so they could
make their own stories, what Google
Copy !req
622. were now doing was TAKING people's
data and using it to predict
Copy !req
623. what those individuals would do,
without having to ask them anything.
Copy !req
624. What they thought or felt
as individuals
Copy !req
625. and the stories they told themselves
was completely irrelevant.
Copy !req
626. Consciousness was being sidelined
even more.
Copy !req
627. When the coalition invaded
Afghanistan, Abu Zubaydah had fled.
Copy !req
628. He had not been involved
in the attacks, but he knew
Copy !req
629. that the Americans were arresting
all the jihadists they could find.
Copy !req
630. He travelled back over the mountains
and hid in Faisalabad in Pakistan.
Copy !req
631. But two months later,
he was captured.
Copy !req
632. Within months of September the 11th,
2001, we captured a man
Copy !req
633. named Abu Zubaydah.
Copy !req
634. We believe that Zubaydah was
a senior terrorist leader
Copy !req
635. and a trusted associate of
Osama bin Laden.
Copy !req
636. Zubaydah was severely wounded
Copy !req
637. during the firefight that brought
him into custody.
Copy !req
638. These are dangerous men with
unparalleled knowledge
Copy !req
639. about terrorist networks
and their plans of new attacks.
Copy !req
640. Zubaydah was taken by the CIA
to a secret prison
Copy !req
641. they ran in Pakistan.
Copy !req
642. He told them that he had had nothing
to do with the attacks,
Copy !req
643. but they didn't believe him.
Copy !req
644. Then they read his diary
that he had written to himself.
Copy !req
645. And the CIA decided it meant that
Zubaydah had a multiple personality
Copy !req
646. and that the other, hidden, self was
hiding the information
Copy !req
647. they desperately needed.
Copy !req
648. So, the CIA turned to psychology to
unlock the information they knew
Copy !req
649. was concealed inside his head.
Copy !req
650. Is this the new positive
psychology class?
Copy !req
651. Yes, it is.
Copy !req
652. So, what is this positive
psychology stuff?
Copy !req
653. Is the rest of
the field negative?
Copy !req
654. Well, that's not really the case.
Copy !req
655. Positive psychology is the study
of the psychological aspects
Copy !req
656. of what makes life worth living.
Copy !req
657. It simply focuses on building
the best in people as opposed
Copy !req
658. to repairing the worst.
Copy !req
659. I see. I need to get to my
next class.
Copy !req
660. Catch you later.
Copy !req
661. Thank you for helping me learn
more about this fascinating field.
Copy !req
662. Positive psychology was part of
Copy !req
663. the new psychology that had risen
Copy !req
664. up in the 1990s. It said
that millions of people
Copy !req
665. were really far weaker than
previously thought,
Copy !req
666. that they were trapped in a state
of what the psychologists
Copy !req
667. called learned helplessness.
Copy !req
668. And positive psychology would
develop techniques
Copy !req
669. to rescue these people.
Copy !req
670. But psychologists working for
the CIA decided they would turn
Copy !req
671. the system in reverse.
Copy !req
672. They would use it to reduce
Abu Zubaydah back to a state
Copy !req
673. of learned helplessness.
Copy !req
674. They called it enhanced
interrogation.
Copy !req
675. And they did it by waterboarding
Zubaydah 83 times,
Copy !req
676. by repeatedly smashing him against
the wall,
Copy !req
677. and locking him naked in a freezing
box for weeks at a time.
Copy !req
678. The CIA videotaped
the interrogations, but later
Copy !req
679. destroyed the tapes.
Copy !req
680. They reportedly show
Abu Zubaydah screaming,
Copy !req
681. shaking uncontrollably and vomiting.
Copy !req
682. What was done to him became
the model for a system of torture
Copy !req
683. that the Americans then used
across the War on Terror,
Copy !req
684. including the prison
at Abu Ghraib.
Copy !req
685. Desperate for the torture to stop,
Zubaydah just spewed out
Copy !req
686. all the disconnected memories
inside his brain,
Copy !req
687. memories that even he had not been
able to piece together.
Copy !req
688. They were fragmented images
of what might happen in America,
Copy !req
689. many of them drawn from the films
he had watched, including Godzilla.
Copy !req
690. And that same sense of incoherent
confusion was now
Copy !req
691. unleashed on America.
Copy !req
692. The CIA believed them,
and the fragments inside
Copy !req
693. Abu Zubaydah's brain now
Copy !req
694. spread out across America to create
yet another wave of fear.
Copy !req
695. But there were more and more people
who were beginning to realise
Copy !req
696. that out in the margins of Western
societies, there was a growing anger
Copy !req
697. and a total disillusion
with the system...
Copy !req
698. .. because it offered hundreds of
thousands of people nothing,
Copy !req
699. and gave their lives no
purpose or meaning.
Copy !req
700. I was brought up in a working-class
way, in a working-class background.
Copy !req
701. I were lucky.
I were good at school.
Copy !req
702. I were academically minded.
I were quick.
Copy !req
703. I could make people laugh, you know
what I mean? I could do things.
Copy !req
704. I could chat and still get on
with me work.
Copy !req
705. Most people couldn't do that.
Copy !req
706. They were people genuinely
who were fantastic with working
Copy !req
707. with their hands, but the other
five hours of the day,
Copy !req
708. they were just miserable.
Copy !req
709. It's just not set up to cater
for working-class lads
Copy !req
710. who were that way inclined.
There's just no end goal.
Copy !req
711. There's no end point.
There's no path.
Copy !req
712. There's just... "Get on with it" is
the main phrase that you hear
Copy !req
713. constantly, and that messes with
your mind after a while.
Copy !req
714. Dominic Cummings worked as
a political adviser
Copy !req
715. for the Conservative Party.
Copy !req
716. But he believed that all
politicians, left and right,
Copy !req
717. had completely lost
Copy !req
718. touch with the people they were
supposed to represent.
Copy !req
719. Cummings came from the North East
and he had seen the disillusion
Copy !req
720. and the anger that had been growing
there ever since a wave of factory
Copy !req
721. closures in the late 1990s.
Copy !req
722. The Labour Government had insisted
Copy !req
723. that there was nothing they could do
in the face
Copy !req
724. of what was called globalism.
Copy !req
725. But Cummings wanted to find a way
to remake politics,
Copy !req
726. so it could challenge these new
forms of unaccountable power.
Copy !req
727. And the way to do that, he believed,
was by using complexity theory.
Copy !req
728. Cummings was fascinated by
the founder of complexity theory,
Copy !req
729. Murray Gell-Mann, because Cummings
believed that Gell-Mann's ideas
Copy !req
730. explained why politicians, like
Tony Blair, had failed to stand
Copy !req
731. up against the force of
globalisation.
Copy !req
732. The systems of power, like
international finance, were now
Copy !req
733. so complex that politicians
could never predict
Copy !req
734. what effect their policies
would have.
Copy !req
735. So, they had stopped trying to
control them
Copy !req
736. and simply let them rip.
Copy !req
737. But complexity theory, he believed,
would allow you to understand
Copy !req
738. and control these new forces...
Copy !req
739. .. because if you looked at the world
as a series of complex systems,
Copy !req
740. you would find that there were
underlying patterns.
Copy !req
741. It's a very simple point, but
a very important one, I think,
Copy !req
742. about sheer complexity.
Copy !req
743. If you look around at social
networks, physical networks, mental
Copy !req
744. networks, they consist of...
Copy !req
745. They consist of complicated,
Copy !req
746. non-linear and independent systems.
Copy !req
747. In these networks, properties
emerge from the interaction
Copy !req
748. of lots of different agents.
Copy !req
749. You can't tell what's going
to happen just by looking
Copy !req
750. at a single agent.
Copy !req
751. So, for example, if you look at
ant colonies, you have lots
Copy !req
752. of interacting ants.
Copy !req
753. And from this, you have emergent
behaviours like farming,
Copy !req
754. slavery and war, that you can never
predict from a single ant.
Copy !req
755. The extreme complexity means
that prediction is extremely
Copy !req
756. difficult even over
tiny timescales.
Copy !req
757. It means... The scale of complexity
means you can't have centralised
Copy !req
758. control. There's no master
ant, there's no master neuron,
Copy !req
759. there's no master immune cell.
Copy !req
760. Cummings wanted to use data
and computers to see the underlying
Copy !req
761. patterns in modern society, and then
use that knowledge to take
Copy !req
762. power back from the unelected elites
who had seized control.
Copy !req
763. But to do that, he was going to have
to find a way to harness
Copy !req
764. the anger and the disenchantment
that was growing in the country.
Copy !req
765. But Cummings was not alone.
Copy !req
766. Across the world, there was
a growing feeling that politics
Copy !req
767. had completely lost touch with
the people, and was therefore
Copy !req
768. losing its power to hold
society together.
Copy !req
769. In China, the children of those who
had led the Cultural Revolution
Copy !req
770. were now in power.
Copy !req
771. They were called the princelings.
Copy !req
772. We are very happy to invite
the newly elected members
Copy !req
773. of the standing committee of
the Political Bureau of the...
Copy !req
774. On the surface, the China they ruled
over was a powerful country.
Copy !req
775. It had a rich
and rapidly growing middle class.
Copy !req
776. What the hell? What's happened?
Copy !req
777. And China was also pouring
money into a rapidly
Copy !req
778. growing military force.
Copy !req
779. But what had been buried
and forgotten
Copy !req
780. was any guiding ideology,
Copy !req
781. any confident story
about what this was all for.
Copy !req
782. Instead, money had filled the void.
Copy !req
783. And that now seemed to be dissolving
Copy !req
784. the bonds that held
society together.
Copy !req
785. There was an extraordinary wave
of organised crime sweeping
Copy !req
786. through Chinese cities.
Copy !req
787. Vast amounts of government money was
being stolen and smuggled abroad.
Copy !req
788. But at the centre of the corruption
was land and property.
Copy !req
789. On the edge of the new
giant cities,
Copy !req
790. organised gangs were forcing farmers
out of their houses at gunpoint
Copy !req
791. and seizing their land.
Copy !req
792. What's happening is quite
literally a massive land grab.
Copy !req
793. Those with political power, or money
and political connections, are doing
Copy !req
794. everything they can to take
control of land.
Copy !req
795. And the reason is very simple.
Copy !req
796. Today in China, land is
extremely valuable.
Copy !req
797. It's in demand for all sorts of
things - for housing developments
Copy !req
798. like this one, for factories, for
shopping malls.
Copy !req
799. Making money was never easier.
Copy !req
800. What made the corruption
so widespread
Copy !req
801. was that under communism, no-one
was allowed to own land.
Copy !req
802. All the land was owned by the party.
Copy !req
803. Which meant that hundreds of
thousands of party officials
Copy !req
804. were being bombarded by bribes
and threats from organised crime,
Copy !req
805. wanting to get the land.
Copy !req
806. And corruption spread on an
extraordinary scale.
Copy !req
807. The government's chief advisor,
Wang Huning, called
Copy !req
808. it ultra corruption.
Copy !req
809. He said it was so extensive that it
was hollowing out the whole
Copy !req
810. political system of control.
Copy !req
811. The country, he said, risked
fragmenting into the anarchy
Copy !req
812. of the 1920s,
Copy !req
813. when hundreds of separate areas were
controlled by rival warlords.
Copy !req
814. But one man decided he was going
to make a stand against this.
Copy !req
815. He was called Bo Xilai.
Copy !req
816. He was at the heart
of the Chinese elite.
Copy !req
817. Bo's father had been one of
the leaders of the revolution
Copy !req
818. with Mao Zedong.
Copy !req
819. But in the Cultural Revolution,
Mao had turned on Bo's father
Copy !req
820. and he was brutally beaten.
Copy !req
821. And Bo's mother was killed
mysteriously.
Copy !req
822. Bo himself had been a Red Guard, but
was sent to a labour camp
Copy !req
823. for five years.
Copy !req
824. But Bo now announced that he was
going to bring back
Copy !req
825. the dreams from that time.
Copy !req
826. In 2007, Bo was made the head
of the city of Chongqing.
Copy !req
827. Chongqing was one of the biggest
cities in the world.
Copy !req
828. It had a population of 32
million people.
Copy !req
829. And Bo decided to use the city as
a laboratory
Copy !req
830. for a giant experiment.
Copy !req
831. He started to hold mass rallies in
the city, which were broadcast
Copy !req
832. live on television, and Red
songs from the Mao era,
Copy !req
833. were sung by thousands.
Copy !req
834. Bo said that the reason for
the corruption in China
Copy !req
835. was because there was no shared
vision of the future, no aim
Copy !req
836. or purpose other than money,
Copy !req
837. and he was going to reawaken
the idealism of the past.
Copy !req
838. And he also passed sweeping laws
to try and tackle the growing
Copy !req
839. inequalities, subsidising housing
and education.
Copy !req
840. And Bo brought in a new police
chief, whose job was to root
Copy !req
841. out the gangsters
Copy !req
842. who had corrupted every part
of the city government,
Copy !req
843. and were still demolishing
thousands of people's houses.
Copy !req
844. Bo soon became famous
and he was seen
Copy !req
845. as a future leader.
Copy !req
846. He and his wife, a lawyer called
Gu Kailai,
Copy !req
847. became a glamorous couple.
Copy !req
848. They, like many others of
the Chinese elite, had a fascination
Copy !req
849. for old England.
Copy !req
850. Many of the estates being built
for the new rich
Copy !req
851. in China's cities were designed
to look like an imaginary version
Copy !req
852. of England's past.
Copy !req
853. Bo and Gu decided to send their son
to an English public school, Harrow.
Copy !req
854. And it led them to meet an
Englishman who had come to China,
Copy !req
855. called Neil Heywood.
Copy !req
856. He had also been to Harrow
and he helped their son.
Copy !req
857. And he soon became close
to the family.
Copy !req
858. Heywood also lived in the old dreams
of England,
Copy !req
859. from a time when it was powerful.
Copy !req
860. He dropped hints that he worked for
MI6 and he drove around Beijing
Copy !req
861. in an Aston Martin with
the numberplate 007.
Copy !req
862. Heywood used his friendship with
the family to make a property
Copy !req
863. deal in Chongqing.
Copy !req
864. But then for some reason, the deal
went wrong
Copy !req
865. and Heywood blamed Gu Kailai.
Copy !req
866. At the same time, rumours started to
come from the centre, in Beijing,
Copy !req
867. that what Bo Xilai was doing
in Chongqing might not
Copy !req
868. be as idealistic as it seemed.
Copy !req
869. And in Russia, there were those
who were also trying to attack
Copy !req
870. and expose the emptiness
and the corruption that had taken
Copy !req
871. over the society there.
Copy !req
872. In 2007, members of the small
National Bolshevik Party,
Copy !req
873. that was led by Eduard Limonov,
Copy !req
874. burst into the finance
ministry in Moscow.
Copy !req
875. They wanted to make people realise
the corruption of Russia
Copy !req
876. hadn't gone away.
Copy !req
877. It was now spreading even
deeper into the society.
Copy !req
878. And that Putin had to go.
Copy !req
879. They were arrested and 39 of them
were put on trial together
Copy !req
880. in a giant cage.
Copy !req
881. I believe we are a most effective
organisation of Russia
Copy !req
882. who irritate the government.
But very effective, very effective.
Copy !req
883. The clumsy police state cannot
struggle against us.
Copy !req
884. 39 young people behind bars,
more than six months.
Copy !req
885. What they said, they said,
"We want Putin to go out."
Copy !req
886. Putin's other main opponent was
the journalist Anna Politkovskaya.
Copy !req
887. What Putin had done, she said,
was simply take the vast corruption
Copy !req
888. that had begun with the oligarchs
and shift it into the public sector.
Copy !req
889. So the civil servants, the managers,
and the intelligence agents
Copy !req
890. around Putin all now benefited.
Copy !req
891. One of them put it simply,
Copy !req
892. "Why take hand-outs
from billionaires
Copy !req
893. "if you can become
a billionaire yourself?"
Copy !req
894. Politkovskaya said that
the society Putin had created
Copy !req
895. was one in his own image.
Copy !req
896. It, too, believed in nothing.
Copy !req
897. He became president
without any programme,
Copy !req
898. without any words.
Copy !req
899. If there was independent television,
Copy !req
900. they would tear Putin apart
piece by piece.
Copy !req
901. He has nothing to debate.
Copy !req
902. He has no programme, he has no
personality, he has no interests.
Copy !req
903. The bureaucrats have made
literally millions,
Copy !req
904. together with their families.
Copy !req
905. I think they were very happy
with Putin.
Copy !req
906. They knew he would create
favourable conditions
Copy !req
907. in which corruption could flourish.
Copy !req
908. Three months after the interview,
Copy !req
909. Anna Politkovskaya was shot
outside her apartment in Moscow.
Copy !req
910. But despite the shock and outrage,
nothing changed.
Copy !req
911. Since Putin had come to power,
the global price of oil
Copy !req
912. had increased massively.
Copy !req
913. And money had poured into Russia.
Copy !req
914. One journalist described
what happened.
Copy !req
915. "The country", he said,
"rode through the first decade
Copy !req
916. "of the 21st century
in a state of semi-oblivion.
Copy !req
917. "In a dream world of consumption."
Copy !req
918. Like Bo Xilai in China,
Copy !req
919. Eduard Limonov believed that
the only way to escape
Copy !req
920. from this empty world was to bring
back the old dreams from the past.
Copy !req
921. But in his case,
Copy !req
922. the communism was mixed
with a fascist nationalism.
Copy !req
923. The End Of The World
by Skeeter Davis
Copy !req
924. Google was now making billions,
Copy !req
925. and at the heart of it was data.
Copy !req
926. It had become a new gold rush.
Copy !req
927. Products of more and more
companies around the world
Copy !req
928. were set up to mine all the traces
of human behaviour everywhere.
Copy !req
929. And nothing was quite
what it seemed.
Copy !req
930. The makers of Roomba revealed
that new models would also be able
Copy !req
931. to gather and transmit information
about the inside of people's homes.
Copy !req
932. People, though, they added, could
always turn this off if they wanted.
Copy !req
933. Hi, I'm Tristan -
Global Passion Ambassador
Copy !req
934. for We-Vibe couples' vibrator.
Copy !req
935. Even the vibrator We-Vibe was
discovered transmitting data
Copy !req
936. about people's private behaviour
back to the servers.
Copy !req
937. Good morning, Cayla.
Copy !req
938. Good morning.
I love the morning. Don't you?
Copy !req
939. While the German government
instructed parents to destroy
Copy !req
940. any models of Cayla the doll,
Copy !req
941. because it contained what they
called a concealed espionage device
Copy !req
942. that could also transmit
personal data
Copy !req
943. about the behaviour
of the whole family.
Copy !req
944. And Pokemon GO, which was created
by a subsidiary of Google,
Copy !req
945. was more than just a game.
Copy !req
946. As well as extracting even more data
from the players' phones,
Copy !req
947. it was also what one researcher
described as persuasive gaming.
Copy !req
948. An experiment to see if you could
move mass groups of people around
Copy !req
949. to where you wanted them.
Copy !req
950. As well as having fun,
the players could also be guided
Copy !req
951. to what was called
sponsored locations.
Copy !req
952. Cafes and bars that would pay
to be a part of the system.
Copy !req
953. One journalist described the aim.
Copy !req
954. "Pokemon", she said,
"is about herding people
Copy !req
955. "to monetised checkpoints without
them being fully aware of it."
Copy !req
956. All this was not only creating
a world where human behaviour
Copy !req
957. could be predicted, it was
going to do something else.
Copy !req
958. Something that scientists
and engineers
Copy !req
959. had been struggling with
for 50 years.
Copy !req
960. It was finally going to solve
the problem of how to create
Copy !req
961. real artificial intelligence.
Copy !req
962. But it would do it
by creating machines
Copy !req
963. that could see a different
kind of reality.
Copy !req
964. One that was hidden
from human beings.
Copy !req
965. The key figure who did this
was a psychologist
Copy !req
966. called Geoffrey Hinton.
Copy !req
967. He was the great-great-grandson
of George Boole,
Copy !req
968. who had invented Boolean logic -
Copy !req
969. that is behind all the algorithms
in modern computers.
Copy !req
970. In the 1990s, Hinton realised that
the idea that you can create AI
Copy !req
971. by feeding rules of human logic into
the machines had completely failed.
Copy !req
972. What Hinton said was that
you do the opposite -
Copy !req
973. you get rid of
all the rules of logic
Copy !req
974. and instead feed a mass of data
into the computer
Copy !req
975. and let it look for its own
connections and patterns.
Copy !req
976. He used what were called neural
networks, where the connections
Copy !req
977. inside the computer
mimicked the human brain.
Copy !req
978. Back in the '90s, there was a
completely different paradigm
Copy !req
979. that wasn't called
artificial intelligence,
Copy !req
980. it was called neural networks,
Copy !req
981. that said, we know about
an intelligence system,
Copy !req
982. it's the brain, and the way
that works is you have lots
Copy !req
983. of little processors with lots
of connections between them,
Copy !req
984. and you change the strengths
of the connections
Copy !req
985. and that's how you learn things.
Copy !req
986. And those connection strength
changes have to somehow be driven by
data.
Copy !req
987. You're not programmed, you somehow
absorb information from data.
Copy !req
988. And you can't do it with rules.
There's too many rules to write.
Copy !req
989. You just have to learn it from data.
Copy !req
990. Now, that data was available online,
Copy !req
991. and Hinton began to feed millions of
words and images into the machines
Copy !req
992. and instructed them
to look for patterns.
Copy !req
993. To learn a language,
the neural network
Copy !req
994. would look for which particular
words appeared next to each other
Copy !req
995. in the billions of sentences
they were scanning
Copy !req
996. and which were far apart.
Copy !req
997. The machine is not interested
in the meaning of the sentence,
Copy !req
998. only the patterns.
Copy !req
999. It was a completely different way
of making sense of reality.
Copy !req
1000. Human beings told themselves stories
about what was happening around them
Copy !req
1001. minute by minute.
Copy !req
1002. Hinton's neural networks
were a kind of intelligence
Copy !req
1003. that completely ignored all stories.
Copy !req
1004. Instead, they crossed back
and forth across time and space
Copy !req
1005. as they searched through data
on the internet
Copy !req
1006. looking for links and patterns
that human beings
Copy !req
1007. would never be able to see
or understand.
Copy !req
1008. Hinton began to work on artificial
intelligence at Google,
Copy !req
1009. and he gave what he had created
a name.
Copy !req
1010. He called it Vector-World.
Copy !req
1011. It expressed what was becoming
Copy !req
1012. one of the most powerful
mythologies of our age.
Copy !req
1013. The idea that had begun
with complexity theory
Copy !req
1014. in the early 1990s.
Copy !req
1015. It said that the world
is too complicated
Copy !req
1016. for us as human beings
to understand.
Copy !req
1017. But nothing is too complicated
for the machines and the data,
Copy !req
1018. for they can see the hidden
reality under the surface.
Copy !req
1019. And this new fragmented way of
ordering reality into patterns
Copy !req
1020. was going to spread.
Copy !req
1021. And as it did, it would detach
human beings even further
Copy !req
1022. from understanding what was
happening in the real world.
Copy !req
1023. In the banks, computers were being
used to package the vast amounts
Copy !req
1024. of mortgages that were being lent
in the property boom
Copy !req
1025. to everyone and anyone.
Copy !req
1026. The computers cut up
the dangerous high-risk loans
Copy !req
1027. and recombined them
with other safer loans.
Copy !req
1028. The bankers believed that
this neutralised the risk
Copy !req
1029. and stabilised the system.
Copy !req
1030. But as they did this,
the connection of the debts
Copy !req
1031. to human reality was broken.
Copy !req
1032. Instead, they simply became
patterns of millions of fragments
Copy !req
1033. of meaningless data moving
harmlessly around the system
Copy !req
1034. in the server farms.
Copy !req
1035. What had happened was that
the bankers, the risk analysts,
Copy !req
1036. the rating agencies, the
accountants, and the politicians,
Copy !req
1037. had all given themselves up
to this new way of thinking.
Copy !req
1038. A way of thinking that said
that the data and the algorithms
Copy !req
1039. understood the complexity of
the world better than you did...
Copy !req
1040. .. which meant that none of them
saw the absurdity
Copy !req
1041. of what was really happening.
Copy !req
1042. A vast wave of money was being lent
to millions of poor people
Copy !req
1043. who could never afford
to pay it back.
Copy !req
1044. But then it got more complicated
because human beings were also
Copy !req
1045. exposed to the avalanche
of data online...
Copy !req
1046. .. and they started to behave
in very much the same way
Copy !req
1047. as Geoffrey Hinton's artificial
intelligence machines.
Copy !req
1048. They, too, spent vast amounts of
time searching through all the data,
Copy !req
1049. looking for patterns,
links and coincidences
Copy !req
1050. that had no obvious meaning.
Copy !req
1051. But, being human beings,
Copy !req
1052. they then turned them into
fantastic elaborate stories.
Copy !req
1053. They were called
conspiracy theories.
Copy !req
1054. 40 years before, Kerry Thornley
and his friend Greg Hill
Copy !req
1055. had started what they called
Operation Mindfuck.
Copy !req
1056. They had spread the conspiracy
theory that the Illuminati
Copy !req
1057. were really the secret rulers
of the world.
Copy !req
1058. They had done it to parody and
ridicule all conspiracy theories
Copy !req
1059. because they thought that
they undermined the confidence
Copy !req
1060. of individuals and made
them easier to control.
Copy !req
1061. But now, in the mass of data online,
Copy !req
1062. those stories about the Illuminati
got mixed up
Copy !req
1063. with other conspiracies,
both true and false,
Copy !req
1064. and out of it came extraordinary
dreamlike stories
Copy !req
1065. built out of fragments
of truth and fiction.
Copy !req
1066. Millions of people became convinced
that all the major stars,
Copy !req
1067. from Britney Spears to Beyonce,
Copy !req
1068. were being manipulated and
controlled by the Illuminati.
Copy !req
1069. The theory said that the Illuminati
had worked with the CIA
Copy !req
1070. and their MK-Ultra project
Copy !req
1071. and with Walt Disney to create
a new system of mind control.
Copy !req
1072. The stars' videos contained
hidden messages.
Copy !req
1073. Above all, images of triangles,
put there by the Illuminati.
Copy !req
1074. Telltale clues to what
is really happening.
Copy !req
1075. But one star had anticipated this.
Copy !req
1076. In 2012, the Coachella festival
and Dr Dre
Copy !req
1077. used computers and fragments
of data from the past
Copy !req
1078. to reconstruct Tupac Shakur
on stage.
Copy !req
1079. You know what the fuck this is!
Copy !req
1080. What up, Dre?
I'm chillin'. What's up, Pac?
Copy !req
1081. What up, Snoop? What's up, my nigga?
Copy !req
1082. What the fuck is up, Coachella?
Copy !req
1083. And an album Tupac had recorded
just before his death
Copy !req
1084. was also released.
Copy !req
1085. He had called it Killuminati...
Copy !req
1086. .. and in it, Shakur had attacked
the way the black community
Copy !req
1087. was already, in the 1990s,
Copy !req
1088. retreating into conspiracy theories
about the Illuminati.
Copy !req
1089. They were doing it, he said,
to avoid confronting
Copy !req
1090. the very real powers
that did control their lives.
Copy !req
1091. His message was simple.
Copy !req
1092. That suspicion was just
another form of control.
Copy !req
1093. Tonight, turmoil on the American
housing market gets even worse
Copy !req
1094. and the aftershocks wipe tens of
billions off world stock markets.
Copy !req
1095. The organisations which underpin
mortgage lending in America
Copy !req
1096. need a multibillion dollar bailout.
Copy !req
1097. Are you ask... Are you checking me?
Are you asking me if I'm trading?
Copy !req
1098. In 2008, the systems in the banks
Copy !req
1099. that had structured the mortgage
loans failed completely.
Copy !req
1100. It led to a global economic crash.
Copy !req
1101. The governments in Britain
and America rescued the banks...
Copy !req
1102. .. but they then decided to
transfer the debt that incurred
Copy !req
1103. away from the private sector
to the public sector.
Copy !req
1104. And what was called austerity began.
Copy !req
1105. That decision was going to
have powerful consequences
Copy !req
1106. because it created anger
among millions of people
Copy !req
1107. outside the system.
Copy !req
1108. Then, in the wake of the crash,
Copy !req
1109. evidence of widespread
corruption came out.
Copy !req
1110. That all the major banks
had been rigging interest rates
Copy !req
1111. and many of them had been laundering
money for organised crime,
Copy !req
1112. including the drug cartels
in Mexico.
Copy !req
1113. But, again, nothing
seemed to change.
Copy !req
1114. A few lowly people were prosecuted
Copy !req
1115. and experts talked of reforms
and stress tests,
Copy !req
1116. and the shock among those outside
the system grew further.
Copy !req
1117. And from that came the reaction.
Copy !req
1118. It was the elites.
Copy !req
1119. And people like you and me.
Copy !req
1120. People that bought into the system.
Copy !req
1121. And who's been held accountable?
Copy !req
1122. Name me one banker, one CEO,
Copy !req
1123. one law firm, one accounting firm.
Copy !req
1124. We basically just flooded
the zone with liquidity,
Copy !req
1125. we bailed out the party of Davos.
Copy !req
1126. And let me say it differently,
the party of Davos,
Copy !req
1127. the scientific, engineering,
managerial,
Copy !req
1128. financial, cultural elite,
bail themselves out.
Copy !req
1129. Remember, this populist movement
and Donald Trump...
Copy !req
1130. ..is not the cause of this,
they're the product of this.
Copy !req
1131. And it worked on different levels.
Copy !req
1132. It wasn't... The most obvious level
was, we've got to take back control
Copy !req
1133. from Brussels, but it was also,
and I think David Cameron
Copy !req
1134. and George Osborne
didn't quite appreciate this,
Copy !req
1135. it was also about taking back
control from...
Copy !req
1136. .. of the system itself.
Copy !req
1137. It was, for a lot of people,
"Take back control",
Copy !req
1138. made them think, yeah, these are
the guys who screwed up the economy,
Copy !req
1139. who drove it off a cliff in 2008,
whose mates are all
Copy !req
1140. the Goldman Sachs bankers and
hedge funders on massive bonuses,
Copy !req
1141. us mugs on PAYE are the ones
paying the bills for this,
Copy !req
1142. we'll show those guys, we'll take
back control from you lot in London.
Copy !req
1143. For Dominic Cummings,
Brexit was not an end in itself.
Copy !req
1144. For him, it was a way of getting
rid of the failed elites
Copy !req
1145. and the old political systems
that ran Britain.
Copy !req
1146. In their place, he was going to use
modern network technologies and data
Copy !req
1147. to transform an old,
decaying society.
Copy !req
1148. But what Cummings hadn't reckoned
with was how the campaign
Copy !req
1149. that he had begun would awaken
ghosts from Britain's past...
Copy !req
1150. Ladies and gentlemen,
please welcome to the stage
Copy !req
1151. the leader of the Brexit Party,
Nigel Farage.
Copy !req
1152. .. and how they would reach out to
possess Brexit and modern Britain.
Copy !req
1153. At the end of 2011,
Copy !req
1154. the body of a British man
was discovered
Copy !req
1155. in the Lucky Holiday Hotel
in Chongqing.
Copy !req
1156. It was Neil Heywood, who had been
friends with Bo Xilai and his wife.
Copy !req
1157. There were rumours
that he had been murdered.
Copy !req
1158. Did a British man die here?
Copy !req
1159. You don't know?
You don't take interviews?
Copy !req
1160. Do you know if it's factually true
that that happened?
Copy !req
1161. Did that actually happened?
Copy !req
1162. OK.
Copy !req
1163. After the body was found,
Bo's police chief came to him
Copy !req
1164. and he told him that Bo's wife
had arranged the murder
Copy !req
1165. because Heywood was threatening
to reveal
Copy !req
1166. that she had been illegally moving
large amounts of money abroad.
Copy !req
1167. The police chief then fled
to the American consulate
Copy !req
1168. in nearby Chengdu because he feared
that Bo was going to kill him.
Copy !req
1169. And he told the press
that Bo and his wife
Copy !req
1170. were really ruthless gangsters
who had brought corruption
Copy !req
1171. to the very top
of the Communist Party.
Copy !req
1172. What then came out shocked China.
Copy !req
1173. It was alleged that while Bo
had portrayed himself
Copy !req
1174. as an idealistic hero and paraded
gangsters and corrupt officials
Copy !req
1175. in front of the cameras,
Copy !req
1176. he and his police chief had really
been using extreme violence
Copy !req
1177. and torture, taking millions
from organised criminals
Copy !req
1178. and bribes from property developers
Copy !req
1179. and then keeping the money
for themselves.
Copy !req
1180. While Bo sang songs
praising Mao Zedong,
Copy !req
1181. he had really just been using
those revolutionary ideas
Copy !req
1182. as a smokescreen to hide corruption
that went to the very heart
Copy !req
1183. of the city government.
Copy !req
1184. But Bo Xilai denied
all the allegations.
Copy !req
1185. He came to the party conference
in Beijing and insisted
Copy !req
1186. that what was happening
was an attempt to smear him
Copy !req
1187. by the corrupt networks that
he was rooting out in Chongqing.
Copy !req
1188. No-one knew who to believe.
Copy !req
1189. There were rumours that really
it was an even more complex plot
Copy !req
1190. by his rivals in Beijing
to stop Bo from getting power.
Copy !req
1191. And in the middle of the conference,
Copy !req
1192. he and his wife were arrested
and thrown into jail.
Copy !req
1193. Suddenly, at the end of 2011,
Copy !req
1194. a wave of protests
burst out in Russia.
Copy !req
1195. As well as Pussy Riot, one night,
a young internet blogger
Copy !req
1196. called Alexei Navalny
got up on a platform
Copy !req
1197. and he chanted the phrase
that redefined Russia
Copy !req
1198. for what up to then had been
an apolitical generation.
Copy !req
1199. Putin was furious.
It was complete hypocrisy.
Copy !req
1200. He had given the new Russian
middle classes prosperity,
Copy !req
1201. now they were stabbing him
in the back.
Copy !req
1202. He grew increasingly paranoid,
fearful that those groups
Copy !req
1203. who had benefited from the
corruption would turn against him.
Copy !req
1204. And to protect himself,
he shapeshifted again.
Copy !req
1205. Putin did the very thing that
Eduard Limonov had called for.
Copy !req
1206. He created a new organisation
called the Popular Front,
Copy !req
1207. to promote Russian nationalism.
Copy !req
1208. But Putin went much further
than Limonov
Copy !req
1209. because he summoned up
a dark, frightening vision
Copy !req
1210. from Russia's past.
Copy !req
1211. It's said that Russia as a whole,
what was called Eurasia,
Copy !req
1212. was the last defence
against a corrupt West
Copy !req
1213. that was trying to take
over the whole world.
Copy !req
1214. It was a great power nationalism
Copy !req
1215. that challenged America's idea
of its exceptionalism.
Copy !req
1216. What Putin was promoting
was Russian exceptionalism.
Copy !req
1217. It was epitomised
by the Night Wolves -
Copy !req
1218. an extreme nationalist
motorcycle club,
Copy !req
1219. who announced that they
were now Putin's bodyguards.
Copy !req
1220. We Won't Leave Our Cities
by DEKABR
Copy !req
1221. The Night Wolves put on mass shows
Copy !req
1222. that dramatised the paranoid
conspiracy theory
Copy !req
1223. that America, led by Barack Obama
and the bankers, and the Illuminati,
Copy !req
1224. were planning to undermine
Vladimir Putin and destroy Russia.
Copy !req
1225. In the West, after the crash,
Copy !req
1226. the bankers had also now become
the villains.
Copy !req
1227. They were at the centre
of conspiracy theories
Copy !req
1228. that said that they were running
a global system of corruption.
Copy !req
1229. A wave of leaked documents seemed
to show that the City of London
Copy !req
1230. had become the centre of
an international network
Copy !req
1231. that was being used to hide
the illegal fortunes
Copy !req
1232. of kleptocrats from
all around the world.
Copy !req
1233. Hundreds of billions,
it was alleged,
Copy !req
1234. was being taken through London
and then hidden in a network
Copy !req
1235. of secretive offshore territories
Copy !req
1236. that anti-corruption investigators
called the Second Empire.
Copy !req
1237. But the problem was,
no-one could actually find out
Copy !req
1238. how much of this was really true...
Copy !req
1239. .. because of something else
the City of London
Copy !req
1240. had always prided itself on
from the time of the Empire.
Copy !req
1241. Its discretion.
Copy !req
1242. Hello, Jim. How's the markets?
Copy !req
1243. Firm.
Copy !req
1244. There's not much doing.
Copy !req
1245. Nothing else? As it's you, I'll
give you seven pence ha'penny.
Copy !req
1246. Sorry, old man,
wrong way, I'm afraid.
Copy !req
1247. Is that all? Has he done it?
Copy !req
1248. No, he's evidently not satisfied.
Copy !req
1249. He'll try somewhere else.
Copy !req
1250. Now, the discretion that the City
was still so proud of
Copy !req
1251. had in reality turned into
a force shield that stopped
Copy !req
1252. any proper investigation
of what was really going on.
Copy !req
1253. Eminent law firms immediately
issued libel writs
Copy !req
1254. to anyone trying to find out
what was happening.
Copy !req
1255. But by suppressing any real
information, the suspicions grew
Copy !req
1256. that there was a dark, frightening
world of dictators, drug lords,
Copy !req
1257. Russian gangsters, arms dealers,
and international bankers
Copy !req
1258. all thriving together in the shadows
of the City of London...
Copy !req
1259. .. which reinforced the idea
that the world
Copy !req
1260. was bewilderingly complicated...
Copy !req
1261. .. and way beyond our control.
Copy !req
1262. In China, Gu Kailai was put on trial
for poisoning Neil Heywood.
Copy !req
1263. She had confessed, the court said,
Copy !req
1264. and she was given a suspended
death sentence.
Copy !req
1265. Then her husband, Bo Xilai, was put
on trial in the city of Jinan.
Copy !req
1266. He denied all the charges
of corruption.
Copy !req
1267. But outside the court, something
unexpected began to happen.
Copy !req
1268. And as you can see, Jinan has
never seen anything like it.
Copy !req
1269. There are huge crowds here, watching
the media, watching the trial,
Copy !req
1270. and everybody who has
any sort of grievance,
Copy !req
1271. any sort of complaint
against the local government
Copy !req
1272. or the national government,
is here to try and get it aired.
Copy !req
1273. To make their case, they've been
thrusting pieces of paper
Copy !req
1274. into my hand.
Copy !req
1275. What happened outside the court
in Jinan gave a glimpse
Copy !req
1276. of the widespread anger
and frustration in China
Copy !req
1277. with the ruling system
and its corruption.
Copy !req
1278. Forces simmering under
the surface of the society.
Copy !req
1279. The party leaders were split
on how to deal
Copy !req
1280. both with what Bo Xilai had done
Copy !req
1281. and the forces of anger
that had now unleashed.
Copy !req
1282. Wen Jiabao, who was the Premier,
said that the problem
Copy !req
1283. was that the party
had never confronted
Copy !req
1284. what had happened
during Mao's time.
Copy !req
1285. "Unless you have political reform
and open up the society
Copy !req
1286. "for democratic debate", Wen said,
those ghosts will always threaten."
Copy !req
1287. But others disagreed.
Copy !req
1288. Above all, the man who
had just been appointed
Copy !req
1289. the next party secretary,
Xi Jinping.
Copy !req
1290. His family, like Bo's,
had been at the very centre
Copy !req
1291. of the frightening forces
that Mao Zedong had unleashed.
Copy !req
1292. One journalist wrote,
Copy !req
1293. "They want to keep
that great black box
Copy !req
1294. "that conceals the struggles
and the brutality
Copy !req
1295. "upon which China has built its
staggering economic transformation,
Copy !req
1296. "firmly closed."
Copy !req
1297. And to keep it closed,
Xi Jinping decided to turn China
Copy !req
1298. into a giant system
in which everyone's behaviour
Copy !req
1299. could be predicted, managed
and controlled.
Copy !req
1300. The aim was to learn from the data
Copy !req
1301. how all the individuals
linked together in the society
Copy !req
1302. so their behaviour
could be predicted,
Copy !req
1303. like components in a system.
Copy !req
1304. But there was a further aim -
to adjust the behaviour of people
Copy !req
1305. so they would fit better
into the system.
Copy !req
1306. It was called
Algorithmic Governance.
Copy !req
1307. If the data from all
the different sources
Copy !req
1308. showed a person behaving well,
Copy !req
1309. buying the right food
for their children,
Copy !req
1310. not cheating at computer games,
and not jaywalking,
Copy !req
1311. then they would be given
what were called social credits.
Copy !req
1312. This would then give them rewards,
Copy !req
1313. from discounts on bills, to getting
better visibility on dating sites,
Copy !req
1314. even avoiding the queue
to pay to see a doctor.
Copy !req
1315. 50 years before, an American
psychologist called BF Skinner
Copy !req
1316. had become notorious when he had
outlined just such a society.
Copy !req
1317. Skinner had shown how he could
easily alter the behaviour
Copy !req
1318. of animals like pigeons by using
a simple system of rewards.
Copy !req
1319. He called it Operant Conditioning.
Copy !req
1320. In this experiment, he must
peck at the cross ten times
Copy !req
1321. before the food is forthcoming.
After four or five sessions,
Copy !req
1322. the pigeon learns the routine
perfectly
Copy !req
1323. and pecks at the cross wherever he
sees it, without being in the least
Copy !req
1324. upset at being made to work
for his living.
Copy !req
1325. Now, that produces in a rat
or a pigeon or a monkey,
Copy !req
1326. and in a man, a very high rate
of activity,
Copy !req
1327. and if you build up, you can get
enormous amounts of behaviour
Copy !req
1328. out of these organisms
for very little pay.
Copy !req
1329. You don't need to give them very
much to induce a lot of that.
Copy !req
1330. A world in which a great many
productive things occur
Copy !req
1331. on this schedule,
will be a wonderful world.
Copy !req
1332. Skinner wrote a novel
called Walden Two
Copy !req
1333. that described a future utopia
where all human behaviour
Copy !req
1334. would be controlled through
this kind of operant conditioning.
Copy !req
1335. "It was a utopia", he said,
"because it would free society
Copy !req
1336. "from all the dangerous
and irrational impulses
Copy !req
1337. "inside individuals' minds."
Copy !req
1338. All of that could be sealed off
Copy !req
1339. by managing people's behaviour
with rewards and treats.
Copy !req
1340. Now China had found a way
of creating just such a system
Copy !req
1341. of managing people through
the mass of data it was gathering.
Copy !req
1342. It was being used
to create a whole society
Copy !req
1343. where what went on inside people's
heads was completely irrelevant.
Copy !req
1344. Their rational thought and their
feelings were all bypassed.
Copy !req
1345. It was only their observed
behaviour that counted.
Copy !req
1346. And this allowed those in charge
to bury and hide
Copy !req
1347. the anger and frustration that
had been created in a society
Copy !req
1348. that was riddled with corruption
and growing inequalities.
Copy !req
1349. And if people didn't respond
to the treats,
Copy !req
1350. they could be forcibly reprogrammed,
Copy !req
1351. as it is alleged is happening
in large re-education facilities
Copy !req
1352. in Xinjiang to hundreds of thousands
of the Muslim Uighur population.
Copy !req
1353. In the West, the corruption
and the inequalities
Copy !req
1354. also continued to grow.
Copy !req
1355. And the politicians seemed unable
to do anything about it.
Copy !req
1356. But the technology systems
were mutating,
Copy !req
1357. morphing into ever more
extreme forms...
Copy !req
1358. .. and out of that was going to come
a completely new kind
Copy !req
1359. of management and control
in the modern world.
Copy !req
1360. Unlike in China, it wouldn't try
and bury people's emotions
Copy !req
1361. and feelings.
Copy !req
1362. It would work by doing
the very opposite -
Copy !req
1363. pushing and exaggerating
those emotions
Copy !req
1364. to a pitch of continual
hysteria and suspicion
Copy !req
1365. that would create a frozen world,
paralysed by the distrust
Copy !req
1366. of everyone and everything.
Copy !req
1367. By now, the social media
corporations had realised
Copy !req
1368. that intense emotions were the key
to increased profits...
Copy !req
1369. .. and what were called
viral content factories
Copy !req
1370. were growing rapidly online.
Copy !req
1371. Their aim was to spread memes
and other material
Copy !req
1372. that would create what they called
high-arousal emotions,
Copy !req
1373. or activating emotions,
Copy !req
1374. such as lust and nostalgia
and envy,
Copy !req
1375. or, best of all, outrage...
Copy !req
1376. .. because these were feelings that
got people to pay attention longer
Copy !req
1377. and react more intensely,
Copy !req
1378. which then translated into
many more clicks and shares.
Copy !req
1379. Then in 2014, a group of
psychologists working with Facebook
Copy !req
1380. announced that they had found
a way to put hidden messages
Copy !req
1381. into people's newsfeeds
Copy !req
1382. that would then create
specific moods and feelings
Copy !req
1383. without the individuals
being aware of it.
Copy !req
1384. It was the moment when the
psychologists' theories of priming,
Copy !req
1385. or nudging, fused with the power
of the new technology,
Copy !req
1386. and it seemed to show
that manipulation could work
Copy !req
1387. on an industrial scale.
Copy !req
1388. But when it was revealed, it also
had another unintended effect.
Copy !req
1389. It began to sew a dark suspicion
into people's minds...
Copy !req
1390. .. because they no longer knew
whether what they were feeling
Copy !req
1391. or thinking was their own
Copy !req
1392. or really coming from
outside sources.
Copy !req
1393. But for the machines,
that was no problem,
Copy !req
1394. because suspicion was also another
perfect high-arousal emotion
Copy !req
1395. that they could feed off.
Copy !req
1396. And suspicion was about to spread
uncontrollably across the internet,
Copy !req
1397. because into this mix
came two terrible shocks.
Copy !req
1398. The first was Brexit,
Copy !req
1399. the other was the election
of Donald Trump.
Copy !req
1400. The shock of both of these
was enormous.
Copy !req
1401. Especially for the liberal classes,
Copy !req
1402. who'd always seen themselves
as protecting the working class.
Copy !req
1403. They protested, but the shock
was so intense
Copy !req
1404. that many people found it difficult
to process what had happened.
Copy !req
1405. They couldn't imagine why the people
had not only turned against them
Copy !req
1406. and their benign care,
Copy !req
1407. but also seemed to have voted
against their own best interests,
Copy !req
1408. and to explain it,
they latched on to the idea
Copy !req
1409. of hidden manipulation.
Copy !req
1410. That thousands of voters
in America and in Britain
Copy !req
1411. had been manipulated online
without them realising it.
Copy !req
1412. But then things became
more complicated...
Copy !req
1413. .. because evidence had started to
come out from the world of science
Copy !req
1414. that questioned the whole idea
that people could be manipulated
Copy !req
1415. in such a way.
Copy !req
1416. Psychology researchers
had tried to repeat a number
Copy !req
1417. of the most important experiments
Copy !req
1418. that were the foundations
of modern behavioural psychology.
Copy !req
1419. They were astonished to find
that again and again,
Copy !req
1420. when they repeated the experiments,
Copy !req
1421. they failed to get
the original results.
Copy !req
1422. It seemed that much of the evidence
for priming just wasn't there.
Copy !req
1423. It got so bad that one of the most
famous psychologists in the world,
Copy !req
1424. who had promoted the idea
of priming, Daniel Kahneman,
Copy !req
1425. wrote an open email
to the science of psychology.
Copy !req
1426. "I see a train wreck looming",
he said.
Copy !req
1427. "We have become the poster child
for doubts
Copy !req
1428. "about the integrity
of psychological research."
Copy !req
1429. Kahneman was frightened because
it was undermining the idea
Copy !req
1430. that he had helped create -
Copy !req
1431. that in the human brain were systems
Copy !req
1432. that the conscious self
was unaware of
Copy !req
1433. but which you, the psychologist,
could trigger unconsciously.
Copy !req
1434. But it also had wider implications
Copy !req
1435. because it meant that companies
like Cambridge Analytica,
Copy !req
1436. who claimed that they could alter
the way people behaved by priming,
Copy !req
1437. might just be exploiting
the hysteria and the suspicion.
Copy !req
1438. The truth was that you might be
able to keep millions of people
Copy !req
1439. in a state of constant
anxiety online
Copy !req
1440. by bombarding them with memes...
Copy !req
1441. .. but you couldn't
alter underneath -
Copy !req
1442. what they thought
and what they believed.
Copy !req
1443. People might be far stronger
than the scientists believed.
Copy !req
1444. But it was too late,
Copy !req
1445. because once you believe
you are being manipulated,
Copy !req
1446. there is no way back.
Copy !req
1447. Even being told you are
not being manipulated
Copy !req
1448. might be manipulation.
Copy !req
1449. The liberal opposition became lost
in an endless conspiracy theory,
Copy !req
1450. constantly searching
for hidden clues,
Copy !req
1451. links and fragments of
evidence to prove that, really,
Copy !req
1452. Vladimir Putin and firms
like Cambridge Analytica
Copy !req
1453. had orchestrated Brexit and
the election of Donald Trump.
Copy !req
1454. It was a mood of hysteria
that ran out of control.
Copy !req
1455. .. whether the president of the
United States was a Russian agent.
Copy !req
1456. Let me say that again -
whether the US president
Copy !req
1457. might have been
working for the Russians.
Copy !req
1458. The wall's closing in.
Copy !req
1459. As it appears the
walls are closing in
Copy !req
1460. in terms of the
Mueller investigation.
Copy !req
1461. The walls are closing in.
Copy !req
1462. The walls are closing in.
Copy !req
1463. I do feel that he feels
the walls closing in on him.
Copy !req
1464. Legal walls are closing
in on Donald Trump tonight.
Copy !req
1465. From a Democratic perspective,
Copy !req
1466. this is the president feels
like the walls are closing in.
Copy !req
1467. As he feels the walls
are closing in...
Copy !req
1468. I think he's feeling
the Russia investigation.
Copy !req
1469. I think he's feeling the walls
closing in on him.
Copy !req
1470. But what had really
been manufactured
Copy !req
1471. by the hysteria and the suspicion
Copy !req
1472. was a constant source of
those high-arousal emotions
Copy !req
1473. that the machines needed.
Copy !req
1474. They didn't care about the meaning
Copy !req
1475. of what people thought
or felt about Donald Trump.
Copy !req
1476. They just fed off
the waves of paranoia,
Copy !req
1477. making the technology companies
ever more profitable and powerful.
Copy !req
1478. But many of those old institutions,
who had been sidelined,
Copy !req
1479. also found that by
promoting the suspicions,
Copy !req
1480. they could regain their power.
Copy !req
1481. Trump is about to call me.
Copy !req
1482. You can't trust what they tell us.
Copy !req
1483. Major newspapers in
America and in Britain
Copy !req
1484. that might have gone bankrupt
without Donald Trump
Copy !req
1485. were rescued by the continual waves
Copy !req
1486. of conspiracy theories
they revealed...
Copy !req
1487. .. while the intelligence agencies,
Copy !req
1488. who only a few years
before had been hated
Copy !req
1489. because they had invented
the weapons of mass destruction,
Copy !req
1490. now became heroic truth tellers,
Copy !req
1491. revealing ever more
hidden conspiracies.
Copy !req
1492. And Vladimir Putin,
whose power, in reality,
Copy !req
1493. was becoming increasingly
fragile at home in Russia,
Copy !req
1494. became, in the eyes of the West,
a dark, malevolent force,
Copy !req
1495. which made him seem far stronger
than he really was.
Copy !req
1496. But for Donald Trump,
Copy !req
1497. the paranoia allowed
him to hide the fact
Copy !req
1498. that he was doing nothing to get rid
of the corruption in America,
Copy !req
1499. as he had promised.
Copy !req
1500. His supporters, though,
had their own conspiracy theory -
Copy !req
1501. QAnon - that explained why
nothing was happening.
Copy !req
1502. Trump was being stopped by a secret
cabal of paedophiles in Washington.
Copy !req
1503. And for the liberal opposition,
it was a way of avoiding facing up
Copy !req
1504. to the genuine grievances
and the very real anger in America
Copy !req
1505. that Trump's election had revealed,
Copy !req
1506. that he might be the product of
a country where large areas
Copy !req
1507. had fallen into both desolation
and despair -
Copy !req
1508. towns where all the factories
had closed,
Copy !req
1509. millions had become addicted
to opioids,
Copy !req
1510. and yet no-one in power
had come to rescue them.
Copy !req
1511. But the liberals couldn't face this
because they, too, had no idea
Copy !req
1512. of how to solve those problems.
Copy !req
1513. And outside, in the real world,
nothing actually changed.
Copy !req
1514. The structure of power,
the inequalities and the decay
Copy !req
1515. all carried on unchecked...
Copy !req
1516. .. while all kinds of groups
who wanted to cling on to power
Copy !req
1517. protected themselves
behind this brittle shell
Copy !req
1518. of conspiracy theories built out
of disconnected fragments.
Copy !req
1519. But it was a very fragile structure.
Copy !req
1520. And at this point,
Google's engineers demonstrated
Copy !req
1521. how easily reality in this
fragmented world
Copy !req
1522. could become strange
and frightening.
Copy !req
1523. They created an AI programme
to learn how to see dogs.
Copy !req
1524. They then showed how, if they ran
the algorithm backwards,
Copy !req
1525. the machines would alter the images
of reality they were being fed,
Copy !req
1526. so they would see dogs everywhere.
Copy !req
1527. It was a world where
anything could be anything
Copy !req
1528. because there was no real meaning
any longer.
Copy !req
1529. Song For Zula
by Phosphorescent
Copy !req
1530. And then into this fragile structure
came a catastrophe - Covid.
Copy !req
1531. Unlike the other catastrophes
of the past 20 years,
Copy !req
1532. like 9/11 and the economic crash
of 2008,
Copy !req
1533. the virus was a force that came from
completely outside
Copy !req
1534. the systems of power.
Copy !req
1535. But it has come at a moment
when many of the old certainties
Copy !req
1536. of this age are already cracking.
Copy !req
1537. But the virus did more than just
accelerate the chaos.
Copy !req
1538. It has dramatically brought
into focus just how deep
Copy !req
1539. the inequalities in modern
Western societies have gone.
Copy !req
1540. The millions of low-paid workers
who have to keep working
Copy !req
1541. to prevent the societies from
collapsing are at much higher risk,
Copy !req
1542. and those living in deprived areas
Copy !req
1543. are suffering much higher rates
of illness and of death.
Copy !req
1544. Those who benefit from
the system of power, it seems,
Copy !req
1545. are much safer than those
who do not,
Copy !req
1546. and are also getting much richer
Copy !req
1547. as the markets keep rising
in the pandemic.
Copy !req
1548. In the past, the shock of
catastrophes has often led
Copy !req
1549. to a radical reorganisation
of societies.
Copy !req
1550. And it may be that, even in the grim
uncertainty of these days,
Copy !req
1551. that that same impulse to imagine
other kinds of future will emerge.
Copy !req
1552. One possible future is that
individualism will disappear,
Copy !req
1553. and with it the very idea
of individual freedom.
Copy !req
1554. As has already begun in China,
Copy !req
1555. data will be gathered and used
on a massive scale
Copy !req
1556. to predict and manage
all human behaviour,
Copy !req
1557. in the way that the psychologist
BF Skinner predicted.
Copy !req
1558. He said that individualism would be
just a brief moment in history
Copy !req
1559. before science would find a way
to manage and control everyone.
Copy !req
1560. "You would," said Skinner,
"create a world
Copy !req
1561. "that is beyond freedom
and dignity."
Copy !req
1562. Skinner believes that
the experimental analysis
Copy !req
1563. of behaviour suggests that
man's environment performs
Copy !req
1564. many of the functions once
attributed to his inner feelings.
Copy !req
1565. A man feels free if he believes
he is free,
Copy !req
1566. and he will believe he is free
if he is conditioned
Copy !req
1567. by positive reinforcement
to think so.
Copy !req
1568. His only hope is that
he will come under the control
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1569. of a natural and social environment
which will enable him
Copy !req
1570. to pursue happiness successfully.
Copy !req
1571. Another possibility is that
the future will be like the past.
Copy !req
1572. Many people are hoping that with the
election of Joe Biden in America,
Copy !req
1573. it will be possible to return
to an old stability...
Copy !req
1574. .. where individualism can continue
to be managed by a benign elite.
Copy !req
1575. But although Donald Trump is gone
and the Brexit deal done,
Copy !req
1576. what they both revealed was that
underneath Western societies,
Copy !req
1577. there are enormous pressures
building up that will not go away...
Copy !req
1578. .. while protests have broken out
again in Russia.
Copy !req
1579. After the arrest of Alexei Navalny,
Copy !req
1580. tens of thousands came out
onto the streets,
Copy !req
1581. demanding an end to the corrupt
regime led by Vladimir Putin.
Copy !req
1582. The reality is that
all these societies -
Copy !req
1583. not just America and Britain,
but China and Russia, too -
Copy !req
1584. are exhausted,
empty of any new ideas.
Copy !req
1585. All of them have corruption
Copy !req
1586. that has burrowed deep
into their institutions,
Copy !req
1587. corruption that the politicians
seem powerless to stop...
Copy !req
1588. .. while China, which many believe
is a model for the future,
Copy !req
1589. is underneath a society
not only riddled with corruption,
Copy !req
1590. but its growth is declining far more
than the official figures reveal,
Copy !req
1591. while its population
is rapidly ageing.
Copy !req
1592. Far from being
an alternative future,
Copy !req
1593. China may well be yet another
old, decaying society
Copy !req
1594. that relies on a powerful
surveillance system
Copy !req
1595. to maintain its power,
Copy !req
1596. because it too has no other vision
of the future.
Copy !req
1597. The third possibility is to try
to imagine genuinely new kinds
Copy !req
1598. of futures, ones that have never
existed before.
Copy !req
1599. But to do that, we as individuals
will have to regain the confidence
Copy !req
1600. that we have lost in this frightened
and uncertain time.
Copy !req
1601. But already, the psychological
theories that tell us
Copy !req
1602. we are weak and manipulable
are cracking...
Copy !req
1603. .. and more and more people
are beginning to realise
Copy !req
1604. that the fragmented emotions
of anxiety and suspicion
Copy !req
1605. that they feel inside them may
really be just the raw material
Copy !req
1606. for the technology corporations
to feed off.
Copy !req
1607. It may be that we are really
far stronger than we think.
Copy !req
1608. The one thing that is certain
is that the world of the future
Copy !req
1609. will be different, and that
the people in that future
Copy !req
1610. will feel and think differently too.
Copy !req
1611. If we can regain our confidence,
we will find that we have the power
Copy !req
1612. to influence how that future
turns out.
Copy !req
1613. And as a first step,
Copy !req
1614. we have to start imagining what kind
of future it is we want to build.
Copy !req
1615. The anthropologist and activist
David Graeber, who died last year,
Copy !req
1616. described the forgotten idea
that is waiting to be rediscovered
Copy !req
1617. and how thrilling it could be.
Copy !req
1618. "The ultimate hidden truth
of the world," he wrote...
Copy !req
1619. 'Til I Gain Control Again
by This Mortal Coil
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1620. Natural's Not In It
by Gang of Four
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